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Monthly China Energy Updates

Reports and Analysis |  |  Jul 2, 2024

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATE | China to Achieve its 2030 Installed Clean Energy Target in July 2024

China will achieve its 1,200GW wind and solar installed capacity by 2030 target by end July 2024, six years ahead of schedule. 103.5GW of zero-emissions capacity was added during the first 5 months of CY2024, as thermal power additions declined by 45% y-o-y as the end of May CY2024 notwithstanding a still exceptionally strong +6.9% y-o-y YTD2024 increase in electricity demand. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  May 29, 2024

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATE | New Solar Deployment Accelerates amid CO2 Emissions Slowdown

During the first 4 months of CY2024, China added 79.7GW of zero-emissions new capacity, accounting for 90% of the net capacity additions. China added 76.9GW of wind and solar capacity from January to April, if this pace sustains or accelerates in the rest of the year, China will achieve its 1,200GW of installed wind and solar capacity by 2030 target this year, 6 years ahead of time. In March, China saw its CO2 emissions fall for the first time in the past 14 months. China’s thermal power generation increased 5.9% y-o-y during the first 4 months of CY2024, despite the massive expansion in renewable energy deployment. Biden’s 100% tariff on Chinese EVs might not be as effective as Chinese EV makers remain price-competitive even after the add-on tariffs, but Chinese EV leaders will renew their focus on other key markets like Brazil and Indonesia. The US’s 50% tariff on solar products hurts American consumers and slows down its national renewable energy development. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  May 10, 2024

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATE | China to Meet its Climate Target 6 Years Early and Robust Market Outlook

During the first quarter of 2024 (1QCY2024), China added 69.4GW of new electricity capacity to the grid, with 91% of it being renewable energy. China is projected to exceed its 2030 target for installed solar and wind capacity six years early. The electricity generation mix shows a rising contribution from zero-emissions sources, with wind power surpassing hydropower for the first time. In the EV market, China remains the world’s largest, with nearly 1.9 million electric cars sold in 1QCY2024. Additionally, China’s solar manufacturing industry faces challenges due to overcapacity, although major players like Jinko Solar remain financially strong even as gross margins contract as solar module prices are now down 50% y-o-y. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  Jan 30, 2024

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATE | 2023 China Electricity Mix Yearly Review: Massive Decarbonisation Progress is Key Economic Stimulus

In 2023, China experienced a groundbreaking surge in renewable energy, installing 292.8GW of clean power, surpassing expectations. Solar capacity grew by an impressive 148%, with 216.9GW added, while wind power increased by 75.9GW. These achievements, constituting 52.4% of total installed capacity, drove China’s economic growth and decarbonising China’s job market. Challenges remain, including high reliance on thermal power, but China’s clean energy push sets a global example for sustainable development. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  Dec 5, 2023

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATE | The new elephant in the room at COP28 – Developed countries need to put the money where their mouths are 

China entered COP28 with greater climate ambition than anyone else in the room. China showcases its robust commitment to renewable energy with 82% of October’s 23.8GW capacity additions being zero emissions, primarily solar. Despite not joining the global pledge to triple renewable energy by 2030, China is on track to peak CO2 emissions soon. COP28 saw the start of the loss and damage fund, the total pledged amount to address loss and damage reached $656m, with Australia investing zero capitals. This is far from enough as the loss and damage in developing countries is already greater than $400bn per year and expected to grow. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  Oct 30, 2023

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATE | Renewable expansion beyond China via Belt and Road Initiatives

China’s renewables expansion remained strong in September, with 22.6GW of zero emissions capacity added. Hydropower continued to recover in September, reaching 139TWh, up 40.8% y-o-y. In contrast there was only a 2.8% y-o-y increase in thermal power capacity. This month saw China celebrates the 10th anniversary of the Belt and Road Initiatives (BRI) with a pledge of $107bn over the next five years. In the meantime, China’s massive scaling-up of solar manufacturing has changed global solar dynamics triggering a rapid price deflation of solar components and taking prices to record lows. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  Oct 3, 2023

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATE | China’s Renewable Boom Sparks EU Concerns and Offers EMDEs Opportunities

China’s renewable leadership offers challenges and opportunities on the path to global decarbonization. In August 2023, China’s renewable energy sector gained momentum with increased hydropower generation after months of droughts. Solar and wind power continued to dominate new capacity additions. Zero emissions capacity is now accounting for 50% of China’s total installed capacity. While China prioritizes economic development over rapid fossil fuel phase-out, EU raises concerns about China’s renewable supply chain dominance due to China’s rapid renewable manufacturing expansion. Nonetheless, this presents an opportunity for emerging markets to accelerate their energy transitions. To meet global net-zero goals, China and other developed nations must invest in emerging economies. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  Aug 24, 2023

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATE | China Continues to Massively Scale Up Renewables while adding Thermal Power

Not only was it another near record month of 22GW of wind and solar added for July 2023, but it was also another month of 6.3GW of new coal power plants in China. National electricity demand grew 5.0% y-o-y, and hydropower generation continued to decline. Even with strong wind and solar growth, coal power generation continues to grow at above market growth rates of +7.9% y-o-y in July. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  Jul 21, 2023

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATES | China Stays on Track: Declining Hydro, but Stable Variable Renewables Growth

While the drought and heatwaves are testing China’s climate resilience, China’s renewable scaling up remains strong during the first half of CY2023. Countering climate change requires efforts from all. We call for China to go even faster in accelerating its decarbonisation process, as well as call for concerted effort from the developed world economies. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  Jun 28, 2023

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATES | As climate change-driven heatwaves and drought impact China’s “dual carbon targets”, longer-term energy transition intact

China Energy Policy Analyst Xuyang Dong argues that, despite the declining hydropower caused by climate change-led drought and heatwaves in China, China’s ambition and determination on energy transition remains intact. China showed heavier reliance on coal in May, while continues renewable expansion at the same time. Read more

Reports and Analysis |  |  May 31, 2023

MONTHLY CHINA ENERGY UPDATES | China remains massively ahead in global cleantech investment during slow economic growth

China remains ahead in leading global cleantech investment during its domestic renewable energy expansion. While the investment in renewables is unevenly split across the world, China continues to mobilise capital to the Global South to help developing countries in energy transition. 2023 is the tipping point for China to peak its coal use as well as its emissions. Australia should seize this opportunity to work with China, as well as other countries, in order to become a renewable superpower. Read more


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