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The Minns government asked the electricity grid operator to undertake more conservative modelling which showed Eraring’s closure would create a reliability shortfall just months before giving the green light to extend the nation’s biggest coal-fired power station. Climate Energy Finance chief executive Tim Buckley questioned whether the investment necessary to defer Eraring’s retirement could have instead been used to encourage “a lot of permanent, low cost, zero emissions private projects”. “Were alternative solutions actually even sought?” he said. Read more

[Starts at 37:46] Tim Buckely told Bloomberg that Adani’s renewable energy aspirations are entirely feasible, and it is in lockstep with the Indian government. Surging power demand will complicate India’s energy transition efforts. Read more

As a confidential report to the NSW government, suggesting that closing Eraring would push power prices up, is released to the public, Tim Buckley provides a withering critique: “Does this analysis assume they (the NSW government) stand there like startled rabbits in the headlights and do absolutely nothing for a couple of years in the face of the stark knowledge that the largest coal fired power plant is at the end of its useful life and going to close? The permanent solution is not bandaids and more taxpayer subsidies for an end of life, unreliable high emissions coal clunker. $450m of tax payer monies would have crowded in a lot of permanent, low cost, zero emissions private projects.” Read more

Tim Buckley discusses the LNP’s nuclear furphy with French newspaper Les Echos: The Australian Conservatives’ proposal is nothing more than a political bluff that “conflates higher electricity prices with renewable energy”, said Tim Buckley. Among the weaknesses of the plan in question, he cites the envisaged use of SMRs “which are not even commercially available”. He also notes that, when it comes to nuclear power, “Australia is relying on foreign know-how, because we have no skills, expertise or technology, zero”, which suggests that budgets and delivery times are likely to be exceeded. Read more

Tim Buckley told Straits Times that Australia is set to be one of the world’s largest sources of renewable energy such as wind and solar power, and that these could eventually be used to produce vast quantities of green hydrogen. “Twiggy (Dr Forrest) was too far ahead of the curve – he has now pivoted to something that is more achievable this decade,” Read more

Battery storage is supposed to throw a bit more competition into the market. But the problem is that many of these assets are now owned or contracted to the very same energy giants that control the rest of the generation. If anything, it’s made it easier for them to control prices and profits. And being in the grip of the big energy players doesn’t feel like a safe place to be at the moment, especially with gas prices at such highs – five times the price of other international markets – according to Tim Buckley, from Climate Energy Finance. And it gives the Coalition plenty to crow about, something that is now taking hold in the minds of the public. Read more

Three-quarters of the gas extracted by Australia is sold overseas, mostly to customers in Japan, China and South Korea. Does this make Australia a petrostate? Tim Buckley, a former investment banker, now director of the analysis firm Climate Energy Finance, is among those who believe it does. He points to the documented history of Australia’s fossil fuel industry to pay, pressure and cajole governments to get its way. The result is that the country has continued to expand gas and coal operations, with no articulated end in sight, since it rejected a climate-laggard rightwing Coalition administration in 2022 and replaced it with a Labor government promising to take a leadership role on the climate crisis. Read more

Source: AEMO Gas Statement of Opportunities If privatisation of gas and electricity networks and the consequent complexity of the market are partly to blame for high energy bills, it is worth pondering whether a more independent regulator might be in order. We are talking about the Australian Energy Market Operator (AMEO), which independent energy expert Tim Buckley described this week as “captured by the methane gas cartel”. Read more

Tim Buckley comments for this feature on Andrew Forrest’s recalibration of his green hydrogen ambitions. Read more

Tim Buckley discusses with Kieran Gilbert the power price spikes AEMO identifies in its latest quarterly energy dynamics report – including the devastating impacts of aging coal clunker outages. Read more

Tim Buckley breaks down why we have seen massive power price spikes in the NEM – coal’s unreliability, system gaming by gentailers and the failure of the approvals system to bring firmed renewables replacement capacity online Read more

Multinational metals giant Fortescue has confirmed it has put green hydrogen plans for the NSW Upper Hunter on the backburner. Director of energy industry think tank Climate Energy Finance, Tim Buckley, said he understood why FFI had backed away from the Liddell idea after conducting the feasibility study. He said Mr Forrest was ambitious in thinking the project, and other FFI green hydrogen projects, could take off so quickly. Mr Buckley said the technology for green hydrogen was still lagging behind in many respects, especially in the large cost of exporting hydrogen from Australia to the world. “[The technology] is yet to be commercialised, and I say that in terms of production but more importantly in terms of international transportation,” he said. “The cost of the transportation is prohibitive and it’s in fact not even commercially viable at this point in time, and won’t be for another decade.” Read more