Tim Buckley writes that the federal budget is pragmatic and aligned with the government’s positive energy transition commitments. However, the absence of any meaningful, long overdue fossil fuel tax reform, which would generate revenue to offset the power price hyperinflation smashing Australians, is a major omission.
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Tim Buckley: “At the end of the day we’ve got an energy crisis, a cost of living crisis, a climate crisis. We need to reform the tax system to make it fairer and make sure multi-nationals pay … [and] quantify the benefit to Australia in terms of corporate tax receipts and reductions of fossil fuels.”
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The Albanese government is accelerating Australia’s value-added critical minerals industry with the new National Critical Minerals Strategy announced last week. In paper #5 on critical minerals, Tim Buckley and Matt Pollard look at policy developments here and in North America, where public-private financing for the transition is massively upscaling.
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Tim Buckley comments in this story which notes while consumer electricity prices are inflated and may rise in the near term as the system decarbonises, the long-term outcome will be a reduction in power prices.
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While investment will be lured away from Australia by aggressive energy transition policy settings, Tim Buckley says there’s still plenty of interest. “I’m bullish. Global capital is virtually unlimited particularly for a market with as low sovereign risk as Australia.”
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While green hydrogen is expected to be commercially viable in certain sectors such as steel, explosives, fertilisers, and refineries – and in certain geographies with major ongoing energy risks like Japan and Korea –Tim Buckley says it is still a decade away from commercial viability.
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“The national electricity market needs fundamental reform,” Tim Buckley said. “Chaotic federal energy policy under the previous government, meant state governments going it alone.” Buckley described Victoria’s decision to renationalise part of the electricity system as ‘excellent’, saying that even though the time frame was ‘aggressive’ it would give greater certainty to everybody.”
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With Woodside reporting soaring revenues today – a 272% jump on the same quarter last year to $US5.86 billion ($9.3 billion) – CEF’s August report on an improved tax regime that would ensure fossil fuel profiteers pay their fair share comes back into focus
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Tim Buckley says rising EV sales and an expanding renewable energy sector are driving the lithium market, with charging stations, green power-generation capability, eMobility providers, battery manufacturers, and energy suppliers anticipated to stimulate market growth in the coming years.
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“A huge amount of political, strategic, and financial support – roughly A$370b – has been laid out and according to Tim Buckley, today’s announcement of up to $816 million in grants to three ASX listed companies only further accelerates these investment trends.”
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“As we build out more supply of very cheap, variable renewable energy – firmed by batteries and so on – we will see the electricity price halve over the next decade,” CEF director Tim Buckley told AAP in a story featured across over 100 mastheads.
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Tim Buckley: “It will take 5-10 years to build out the grid after a decade of policy inaction. Now we have to move double fast to build the infrastructure and facilitate the wave of $100bn of new regional investment in wind, solar, pumped hydro, batteries and so on bringing huge employment opportunities and value adding for communities and industries, and to lower energy prices for all of us”. [at 11:45]
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