Reports and Analysis
Australian Lithium Export Market Review
As the federal government’s Resources and Energy Quarterly released today projects lithium export earnings of $18.6bn in 22/23, CEF’s Matt Pollard reviews growth in and investments by key Australian producers as we start to leverage our once in a century opportunity to lead the world in value-added critical minerals. Read more
GUEST POST/ ANALYSIS | The Treasurer should block any foreign bid for Liontown Resources
As US giant Albermarle swoops on burgeoning local lithium producer Liontown with a takeover bid, CEF guest contributor Owen Evans and CEF’s Tim Buckley recommend that the Foreign Investment Review Board and Treasurer Jim Chalmers take a hard look at the national interest implications and reject the bid. Read more
CEF NEWS UPDATE | Safeguard Mechanism passes parliament, new report shows methane 70% of Safeguard emissions, our Macquarie Bank analysis and more
We review the Safeguard Mechanism reforms which have finally passed parliament, as a new report reveals the methane bomb at the heart of the SGM; our review of Macquarie’s efforts in decarbonising its financing; we take a look at the China “drums of war” rhetoric in the context of the threat of climate change; the latest on Adani and more Read more
Safeguard Mechanism enhancements as government strikes deal – not perfect, but a major step forward for decarbonisation
The deal struck between the federal government, the Greens and the Teals today to get the Safeguard Mechanism legislation through parliament, to come into effect from 1 July, is a significant step forward on the nation’s decarbonisation pathway. Overall it enhances the ambition, public accountability, integrity and impact of the mechanism legislation initially proposed by the government, and while still far from perfect, it is a major advance on the state of play as recently as last week. Read our new analysis. Read more
Macquarie FY2022/1H2023 | Climate Finance Assessment
Fifth in CEF’s climate finance analyses series of Australia’s Big 5 banks, Nishtha Aggarwal reviews the entirety of Macquarie Group’s climate impact across the Group’s four business lines, Macquarie Asset Management (MAM), Macquarie Capital (MacCap), Banking and Financial Services (BFS), and Commodities and Global Markets (CGM). We find The Group’s combined global 107GW portfolio of clean energy is unrivalled among major Australian financial institutions, but its dominance in conventional energy markets undermines the Group’s climate commitments by contributing to global warming above a 1.5 degree pathway. Read more
REPORT | Short-term warming effect of methane from fossil fuels and implications for the Safeguard Mechanism by Prof Ian Lowe
A new report by eminent environmental scientist Emeritus Professor Ian Lowe, commissioned by Lock the Gate, finds that direct methane emissions from fossil fuel facilities make up ~70% of total greenhouse gas emissions covered under the federal Safeguard Mechanism (SGM), when the global warming impact is calculated over 20 years. Methane devastates the climate. It is 85 times more potent than CO2 in the short term. CEF is supporting release of the report. Read more
Australia’s National Security – More Than Just China
Public discourse on national security in Australia is evolving, while geopolitics and sovereign security are inarguably important, Australian society also cares about the economy and issues such as resilience in the face of the impacts of the climate and energy crisis. Diversifying Australia’s security strategy to encompass these concerns is an urgent matter because China is no longer the only, or major, threat to the world – or to Australia. Climate change and the energy crisis are clearly endangering Australia’s national interests now, and require more nuanced conversations to tackle. Read more
EU’s new Net Zero Industry & Critical Raw Materials Acts dramatically escalate pressure on Australia to seize once-in-a-century cleantech opportunity
The global race to decarbonisation massively escalated overnight with new regulations designed to turbocharge and onshore cleantech in the EU, following the US’s game-changing Inflation Reduction Act, which is spearheading the energy revolution there. The challenge is now on for Australia to accelerate investment and leverage its competitive advantages as a value-adding energy transition materials and renewables superpower – or miss the boat. Read more
CEF NEWS UPDATE | EU introduces Net Zero Industry Act; AEMO finds gas shortage, we find gas cartel ethics shortage; AER flags electricity price hike
Our news update, where we review the new EU Net Zero Industry Act and the pressure it puts on Australia to dramatically escalate decarbonisation investment; bust the AEMO myth that there is a gas shortage when the shortage is actually in gas cartel ethics; and look at the coming electricity price hike, moderated by the government’s market intervention last year Read more
There is no “gas shortage”, just a shortage of ethics and integrity from gas cartel
The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO)’s assertion in its Gas Statement of Opportunity today that we need more new supply to offset purported imminent shortages is counterintuitive. There is no shortage, just a cartel with a chronic shortage of ethics extorting Australians as they export the majority of domestic production and rake in obscene war profits. It should be a major priority for AEMO to provide rule modernisations incentivising new technologies to rapidly decarbonise our grid and decouple from extortionate, polluting, volatile fossil fuels. Read our take. Read more
As regulator flags ~20% hike in retail electricity prices, accelerated energy transition only permanent solution to price pain
Consumers slugged by interest rate rises are in for more pain as the Australian Energy Regulator today flagged retail electricity price rises of ~20% from 1 July – noting that absent the Albanese government’s wholesale domestic coal and gas price cap intervention in December, this would have been more like 40-50%. The solutions: make the war-profiteering fossil fuel multinationals pulling superoprofits from our resources pay a temporary windfall tax to offset cost of living pressures for those hardest hit; and rapidly accelerate decarbonisation, delivering clean low-cost firmed renewables to Australians, permanently reducing power prices. Read more
New green home partnership between CEFC and CBA a welcome step toward residential sector emissions reduction
A new partnership between the Clean Energy Finance Corporation and Australia’s biggest mortgage lender, CBA, to incentivise energy efficiency and cut emissions in the $9tn residential sector is a step in the right direction, but there is scope for more ambition. CEF analyst Nishtha Aggarwal takes a look. Read more